Momentum investors typically don’t time the market or “buy low and sell high.” In other words, they avoid betting on cheap stocks and waiting long for them to recover. Instead, they believe that “buying high and selling higher” is the way to make far more money in lesser time.
Who doesn’t like betting on fast-moving trending stocks? But determining the right entry point isn’t easy. Often, these stocks lose momentum once their valuation moves ahead of their future growth potential. In such a situation, investors find themselves loaded up on expensive shares with limited to no upside or even a downside. So, going all-in on momentum could be risky at times.
It could be safer to invest in bargain stocks that have been witnessing price momentum recently. While the Zacks Momentum Style Score (part of the Zacks Style Scores system), which pays close attention to trends in a stock’s price or earnings, is pretty useful in identifying great momentum stocks, our ‘Fast-Paced Momentum at a Bargain’ screen comes handy in spotting fast-moving stocks that are still attractively priced.
UFP Industries (UFPI – Free Report) is one of the several great candidates that made it through the screen. While there are numerous reasons why this stock is a great choice, here are the most vital ones:
A dash of recent price momentum reflects growing interest of investors in a stock. With a four-week price change of 3.5%, the stock of this wood and materials provider for the construction industry is certainly well-positioned in this regard.
While any stock can see a spike in price for a short period, it takes a real momentum player to deliver positive returns for a longer time frame. UFPI meets this criterion too, as the stock gained 38.7% over the past 12 weeks.
Moreover, the momentum for UFPI is fast paced, as the stock currently has a beta of 1.53. This indicates that the stock moves 53% higher than the market in either direction.
Given this price performance, it is no surprise that UFPI has a Momentum Score of B, which indicates that this is the right time to enter the stock to take advantage of the momentum with the highest probability of success.
In addition to a favorable Momentum Score, an upward trend in earnings estimate revisions has helped UFPI earn a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). Our research shows that the momentum-effect is quite strong among Zacks Rank #1 and #2 stocks. That’s because as covering analysts raise their earnings estimates for a stock, more and more investors take an interest in it, helping its price race to keep up. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stocks here >>>>
Most importantly, despite possessing fast-paced momentum features, UFPI is trading at a reasonable valuation. In terms of Price-to-Sales ratio, which is considered as one of the best valuation metrics, the stock looks quite cheap now. UFPI is currently trading at 0.86 times its sales. In other words, investors need to pay only 86 cents for each dollar of sales.
So, UFPI appears to have plenty of room to run, and that too at a fast pace.
In addition to UFPI, there are several other stocks that currently pass through our ‘Fast-Paced Momentum at a Bargain’ screen. You may consider investing in them and start looking for the newest stocks that fit these criteria.
This is not the only screen that could help you find your next winning stock pick. Based on your personal investing style, you may choose from over 45 Zacks Premium Screens that are strategically created to beat the market.
However, keep in mind that the key to a successful stock-picking strategy is to ensure that it produced profitable results in the past. You could easily do that with the help of the Zacks Research Wizard. In addition to allowing you to backtest the effectiveness of your strategy, the program comes loaded with some of our most successful stock-picking strategies.
UFP Industries (UFPI – Free Report) appears an attractive pick given a noticeable improvement in the company’s earnings outlook. The stock has been a strong performer lately, and the momentum might continue with analysts still raising their earnings estimates for the company.
Analysts’ growing optimism on the earnings prospects of this wood and materials provider for the construction industry is driving estimates higher, which should get reflected in its stock price. After all, empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements. This insight is at the core of our stock rating tool — the Zacks Rank.
The five-grade Zacks Rank system, which ranges from a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) to a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), has an impressive externally-audited track record of outperformance, with Zacks #1 Ranked stocks generating an average annual return of +25% since 2008.
For UFP Industries, there has been strong agreement among the covering analysts in raising earnings estimates, which has helped push consensus estimates considerably higher for the next quarter and full year.
The chart below shows the evolution of forward 12-month Zacks Consensus EPS estimate:
12 Month EPS
Current-Quarter Estimate Revisions
For the current quarter, the company is expected to earn $0.90 per share, which is a change of +38.46% from the year-ago reported number.
Over the last 30 days, one estimate has moved higher for UFP Industries compared to no negative revisions. As a result, the Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased 36.87%.
Current-Year Estimate Revisions
For the full year, the company is expected to earn $4.84 per share, representing a year-over-year change of +21%.
In terms of estimate revisions, the trend for the current year also appears quite encouraging for UFP Industries. Over the past month, two estimates have moved higher compared to no negative revisions, helping the consensus estimate increase 28.12%.
Favorable Zacks Rank
Thanks to promising estimate revisions, UFP Industries currently carries a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). The Zacks Rank is a tried-and-tested rating tool that helps investors effectively harness the power of earnings estimate revisions and make the right investment decision. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Our research shows that stocks with Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and 2 (Buy) significantly outperform the S&P 500.
While strong estimate revisions for UFP Industries have attracted decent investments and pushed the stock 18.6% higher over the past four weeks, further upside may still be left in the stock. So, you may consider adding it to your portfolio right away.
GRAND RAPIDS, Mich., Dec. 28, 2020 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — UFP Industries, Inc. (Nasdaq: UFPI) today announced that UFP Industrial, LLC, closed on its agreement to purchase 100 percent of the equity of PalletOne, Inc. for approximately $232 million. This price assumes a cash-free, debt-free balance sheet and an agreement to pay $21 million for PalletOne’s recent capital expenditures and other investments. The PalletOne management team, including President Howe Wallace, will continue to lead the company.
Scott Worthington, president of UFP Industrial, commented, “We are excited to welcome the PalletOne team to the UFP family of companies and look forward to executing PalletOne’s strategy while realizing the operating benefits and synergies of our respective organizations.”UFP Industries, Inc.UFP Industries is a holding company whose operating subsidiaries – UFP Industrial, UFP Construction and UFP Retail Solutions – manufacture, distribute and sell a wide variety of value-added products used in residential and commercial construction, packaging and other industrial applications worldwide. Founded in 1955, the company is headquartered in Grand Rapids, Mich., with affiliates in North America, Europe, Asia and Australia. For more about UFP Industries, go to www.ufpi.com.PalletOne, Inc.Organized in 2001, PalletOne operates 17 locations in nine states that manufacture new pallets, provide pallet repair programs, recycle used pallets and produce a variety of other wood products. With headquarters in Bartow, Florida, PalletOne’s operations also include Sunbelt Forest Products Corporation, one of the largest producers of pressure-treated lumber and residential fencing in the Southeast, and SunOne Logistics, a Southeast regional truckload carrier. Through its combined operations, PalletOne employs more than 1,500 people across 22 locations. This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act, as amended, that are based on management’s beliefs, assumptions, current expectations, estimates and projections about the markets we serve, the economy and the Company itself. Words like “anticipates,” “believes,” “confident,” “estimates,” “expects,” “forecasts,” “likely,” “plans,” “projects,” “should,” variations of such words, and similar expressions identify such forward-looking statements. These statements do not guarantee future performance and involve certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict with regard to timing, extent, likelihood and degree of occurrence. The Company does not undertake to update forward-looking statements to reflect facts, circumstances, events, or assumptions that occur after the date the forward-looking statements are made. Actual results could differ materially from those included in such forward-looking statements. Investors are cautioned that all forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainty. Among the factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from forward-looking statements are the following: fluctuations in the price of lumber; adverse or unusual weather conditions; adverse economic conditions in the markets we serve; government regulations, particularly involving environmental and safety regulations; and our ability to make successful business acquisitions. Certain of these risk factors as well as other risk factors and additional information are included in the Company’s reports on Form 10-K and 10-Q on file with the Securities and Exchange Commission.—————AT THE COMPANY—————Dick Gauthier
VP, Business Outreach